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What We Just Saw In Egypt Was Not A Coup By Tanks, But A Coup By Judiciary

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Egyptian Military

CAIRO, Egypt — No mutinous troops stormed the presidential palace. Nor were there late-night executions of civilian politicians, or the dramatic seizure of the state-run broadcaster.

Still, what has happened in Cairo over the last week is what many Egyptian observers are calling a military coup.

“It is not a coup by tanks, but a coup by the judiciary,” said Khaled Fahmy, the chair of the American University in Cairo’s history department.

Less than an hour after polls closed in the final round of Egypt’s first presidential elections on Sunday, the ruling Supreme Council of Armed Forces (SCAF) issued a constitutional declaration granting itself executive, legislative and even constitutional powers for an indefinite period of time — just days after the supreme court dissolved the first democratically-elected parliament.

According to preliminary but unofficial results, the Muslim Brotherhood’s Mohamed Morsi secured the most votes by a slim margin, beating out former regime official, Ahmed Shafiq, for Egypt’s presidency.

But that appeared to matter little as the military’s declaration — described by analysts as an 11-hour power grab and perhaps the clearest sign yet that Egypt’s revolution was never complete — strips any new president of all but the most cosmetic of authorities.

The military had pledged to transfer full authority to a civilian government on June 30, but will now hold the sole power to legislate until both a new constitution and a new parliament are formed.

“[The declaration] effectively establishes a state within a state,” Fahmy, a longtime academic writer on Egyptian military affairs, said of the army’s solidified rule. “SCAF will pass the laws that define SCAF. How can you challenge this? It’s a serious blow to the rule of law, and extremely dangerous.”

Egypt’s military rulers, influential but operating largely behind-the-scenes, seized control when former president, Hosni Mubarak, became the target of a series of unprecedented street protests last year.

When the army rolled into the streets atop tanks during the uprising, though vowing not to fire on protestors in their bid to topple the regime, Egyptians euphorically embraced the soldiers as allies in the fight.

As Egyptians saw themselves embarking on a new era of representative democracy, the ageing generals eased Mubarak from power in February 2011, subsequently styling themselves as the custodians of Egypt’s fledgling democracy.

“Circumstances forced the army to take on this role, until the parliament and the constitution both came into force,” said retired Brig. Gen., and military analyst, Mohamed Kadry said.

But since then, the army has battled with pro-democracy activists and Egypt’s largest political party, the Muslim Brotherhood’s Freedom and Justice Party, to retain key privileges for the armed forces in a new constitution.

Many political figures expected the army, with extensive business holdings and funds, to maintain some sort of special autonomy that shielded at least certain aspects of its operations from civilian oversight.

“Details [of the military budget] must be subject to scrutiny by all ministries whose work is related to that of the military, as well as the president,” Said told GlobalPost. “But any ministry whose work is not related to the military has no need to know military secrets.”

But Sunday’s addendum — which acts as a supplement to the March 2011 constitutional declaration, and follows the granting of sweeping new arrest powers to the military police — stunned even those with long-held suspicions of SCAF’s quest for political supremacy.

“They went way, way further than anyone had thought,” Fahmy said. “The scale and the language used are just unprecedented. They [the military] want to be able to write the constitution, draft laws and to execute them.”

In addition to investing itself with broad, unchallenged authority, SCAF also declared that the council of generals, with its current make-up of 19 members, would remain unchanged with the formation of a new government.

With Field Marshal Mohamed Hussein Tantawi, current de-facto ruler of Egypt, at its head, the council will maintain veto power over declarations of war, and enjoy legal immunity from prosecution if the president requests that the armed forces engage in domestic policing.

Previously, a new civilian president would have automatically become the head of SCAF, and would have held the authority to change its members.

“Tantawi is minister of defense for life,” Fahmy said.

“This severely limits the powers of the president and his relations vis-à-vis the armed forces,” said Abdo Mostafa Abdel Rahman, a member of the FJP’s Supreme Committee in the northern Egyptian province of Damietta. “It is unacceptable.”

The Brotherhood, while ecstatic over Morsi’s reported victory in the presidential race, appeared poised to clash with Egypt’s ruling generals as the political crisis deepened on Monday.

Rejecting the dissolution of parliament last week, lawmakers vowed to march on the people’s assembly building — now guarded by a mixture of police and soldiers — and convene Tuesday’s session in Cairo’s iconic Tahrir Square.

“All of this, it is a declaration of war on the political forces of this country,” said Amr Daraag, a leading Brotherhood member in the Giza province, included in Greater Cairo.

“We no longer have civilian power invested in any political entity in this country,” he said.

Heba Habib contributed reporting from Cairo, Egypt.

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This Chart Shows The Terrifying Power Of Modern Nuclear Bombs

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This infographic designed by Maximilian Bode and posted on fastcodesign.com illustrates the terrifying power of today's nuclear bombs. Each red block represents a ton of TNT.

It breaks down the difference between bombs of the past, such as the Little Boy dropped at Hiroshima, and ones more recently detonated by the U.S., like the Castle Bravo.

nuclear bomb power

DON'T MISS: This Chart Shows The Bilderberg Group's Connection To Everything In The World >

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Vintage Pictures From The First Flight Around The World

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Plane

The 1920s was a special time in American history. The "war to end all wars" was over and the United States was stronger than ever.

Air travel was also gaining popularity after the first flight took off in 1903. In 1924, the U.S. Air Force had a daring and revolutionary plan: to be the first to successfully complete a flight all the way around the world.

The journey started in Santa Monica, C.A. on March 17 and took 175 days. Four planes named after American cities, the Boston, Seattle, New Orleans and Chicago each had two-man crews that would attempt to travel over 27,000 miles.

The following slides contain photos from a silent film, kept in the US National Archives, which chronicled the first-ever aerial circumnavigation of the globe.  

The four planes slated to make the round-the-world flight arrive on the shores of San Diego, waiting to be taken for the ride.

Source: US National Archives



A large crowd gathered to see the brave Air Force soldiers off on their monumental journey.

Source: US National Archives



The planes get some last minute mechanical fixes and the crew is just about ready to embark.

Source: US National Archives



See the rest of the story at Business Insider

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Obama Administration’s Drone Death Figures Don’t Add Up

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drone

Last month, a “senior administration official” said the number of civilians killed in drone strikes in Pakistan under President Obama is in the “single digits.” But last year “U.S. officials” said drones in Pakistan killed about 30 civilians in just a yearlong stretch under Obama.

Both claims can’t be true.

A centerpiece of President Obama’s national security strategy, drones strikes in Pakistan are credited by the administration with crippling Al Qaeda but criticized by human rights groups and others for being conducted in secret and killing civiliansThe underlying facts are often in dispute and claims about how many people died and who they were vary widely.

So we decided to narrow it down to just one issue: have the administration’s own claims been consistent?

We collected claims by the administration about deaths from drone strikes in Pakistan and compared each one not to local reports but rather to other administration claims. The numbers sometimes do not add up. (Check out our interactive graphic to explore the claims.)

Even setting aside the discrepancy between official and outside estimates of civilian deaths, our analysis shows that the administration’s own figures quoted over the years raise questions about their credibility.

There have been 307 American drone strikes in Pakistan since 2004, according to a New America Foundation count. Just 44 occurred during the Bush administration. President Obama has greatly expanded the use of drones to attack suspected members of Al Qaeda, the Pakistani Taliban, and other groups in Pakistan’s remote northwest region.

Obama officials generally do not comment by name on the drone strikes in Pakistan, but they frequently talk about it to reporters (including us) on condition of anonymity. Often those anonymously sourced comments have come in response to outside tallies of civilian deaths from drone attacks, which are generally much higher than the administration’s own figures.

The outright contradiction we noted above comes from two claims made about a year apart:

* April 22, 2011 McClatchy reports that U.S. officials claim “about 30” civilians died in the year between August 2009 and August 2010.

May 29, 2012 The New York Times reports that, according to a senior Obama administration official, the number of civilians killed in drone strikes in Pakistan under president Obama is in the “single digits.”

As we also show in our interactive graphic, other anonymous administration claims about civilian deaths are possible but imply conclusions that seem improbable.

Consider:

* April 26, 2010 The Washington Post quotes an “internal CIA accounting” saying that“just over 20 civilians” have been killed by drones in Pakistan since January 2009.

* Aug. 11, 2011 The New York Times reports that CIA officers claim zero civilians were killed since May 2010

* Aug. 12, 2011 CNN quoted a U.S. official saying there were 50 civilians killed over the years in drone strikes in Pakistan.

If this set of claims is assumed to be accurate, it suggests that the majority of the 50 total civilian deaths occurred during the Bush administration — when the drone program was still in its infancy. As we’ve noted, in the entire Bush administration, there were 44 strikes. In the Obama administration through Aug. 12, 2011, there were 222. So according to this set of claims more civilians died in just 44 strikes under Bush than did in 222 strikes under Obama. (Again, the graphic is helpful to assess the administration assertions.)

Consider also these three claims, which imply two lengthy periods when zero or almost zero civilians were killed in drone strikes:

September 10, 2010 Newsweek quotes a government estimate that “about 30”civilians were killed since the beginning of 2008.

* April 22, 2011 McClatchy reports that U.S. officials claim “about 30” civilians died in the year between August 2009 and August 2010.

* July 15, 2011 Reuters quotes a source familiar with the drone program as saying“about 30” civilians were killed since July 2008.

It’s possible that all these claims are true. But if they are, it implies that the government believes there were zero or almost zero civilian deaths between the beginning of 2008 and August 2009, and then again zero deaths between August 2010 and July 2011. Those periods comprise a total of 182 strikes.

The administration has rejected in the strongest terms outside claims of a high civilian toll from the drone attacks.

Those outside estimates also vary widely. A count by Bill Roggio, editor of the website the Long War Journal, which bases its estimates on news reports, puts the number of civilian killed in Pakistan at 138. The New America Foundation estimates that, based on press reports, between 293 and 471 civilians have been killed in the attacks. The London-based Bureau of Investigative Journalism, which draws on a wider array of sources including researchers and lawyers in Pakistan, puts the number of civilians killed at between 482 and 832. The authors of the various estimates all emphasize that their counts are imperfect.

There are likely multiple reasons for the varying counts of civilian deaths from drone strikes in Pakistan. The attacks are executed remotely in often inaccessible regions. And there’s the question of who U.S. officials are counting as civilians. A story last month in the New York Times reported that President Obama adopted a policy that “in effect counts all military-age males in a strike zone as combatants.”

There are also ongoing debates in the humanitarian law community about who the U.S. may legitimately target with drone strikes and how the CIA is applying the principle of proportionality — which holds that attacks that might cause civilian deaths must be proportional to the level of military advantage anticipated.

In a rare public comment on drone strikes, President Obama told an online town hall in January that the drones had not caused “a huge number of civilian casualties.”

When giving their own figures on civilian deaths, administration officials are often countering local reports. In March 2011, for example, Pakistanis including the country’s army chief accused a U.S. drone strike of hitting a peaceful meeting of tribal elders, killing around 40 people. An unnamed U.S. official rejected the accusations, telling the AP: "There's every indication that this was a group of terrorists, not a charity car wash in the Pakistani hinterlands."

Unnamed U.S. officials told the Los Angeles Times last year that “they are confident they know who has been killed because they watch each strike on video and gather intelligence in the aftermath, observing funerals for the dead and eavesdropping on conversations about the strikes.”

U.N. High Commissioner for Human Rights Navi Pillay said during a visit to Pakistan this month that there should be investigation of killings of civilians by drones and that victims should be compensated. The U.S. has given compensation to victims of airstrikes in Afghanistan but there are no reports of victims of drone strikes in Pakistan being compensated.

Since the various administration statements over the years were almost all quoted anonymously, it’s impossible to go back to the officials in question to ask them about contradictions.

Asked about the apparent contradictions, National Security Council spokesman Tommy Vietor told ProPublica: “[W]e simply do not comment on alleged drone strikes.”

Additional reporting by Cora Currier.

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Here's What Gets Axed In The First Round Of Defense Cuts [Presentation]

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USS Wasp

The U.S. defense budget has ballooned to unheard of heights in the past years.

Wars in Iraq and Afghanistan along with ambitious technologically advanced projects like the F-35 and the new class of aircraft carriers are expensive — and the president insisted cuts be made immediately.

This is what came to Washington most easily. It's a list that will save the county almost $60 billion a year, but still leaves the defense budget at a staggering $650 billion a year.

If nothing changes, however, and the big across-the-board cuts come in August this round of budget cuts will this batch seem like pocket change.

The President's budget request for national defense discretionary programs within the Committee on Armed Services in fiscal year 2013 was $631.6 billion.

The Senate bill — which we dissect here — authorizes $631.4 billion, in line with the Administration's request, making huge cuts to get there. 







See the rest of the story at Business Insider

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These Expensive Drones Are Actually The Most Accident-Prone Aircraft In The US Air Force

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Global Hawk

The U.S. military's three biggest drones are the most accident-prone aircraft in the Air Force fleet, reports Brendan McGarry of Bloomberg. 

The RQ-4 Global Hawk, MQ-1 Predator and MQ-9 Reaper drones have had a combined 9.31 accidents for every 100,000 hours of flying, giving unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) an accident rate that is more than triple the fleet-wide average of 3.03, according to military data compiled by Bloomberg Government (BGOV).

A Global Hawk crashed on the shores of Maryland on June 11.

Jay Stanley, spokesman for the American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU), echoed concerns made by members of Congress that the use of drones without transparency or accountability may threaten both the privacy and security of Americans. 

From Bloomberg

“If we have 30,000 flying pieces of robotic hardware buzzing above our heads, Americans are going to want to be very certain that it’s safe, in addition to putting in place good rules to protect our privacy,” Stanley said in a telephone interview.

The Air Force recorded 129 accidents involving Predators, Reapers or Global Hawks in a 15-year period through September 30. Vertical-lift aircraft, including helicopters and the V-22 Osprey, had the second highest accident rate with 6.33 per 100,000 flight hours.

Most drone accidents are caused by component failures or operator error. Even smaller drones are susceptible to malfunction, as seen by the RQ-170 Sentinel stealth drone that went down in Iran.

Privacy is an automatic concern because the Air Force has acknowledged that if any drones in domestic skies should accidentally capture footage of Americans, "military intelligence has the right to study it to determine whether the subjects are legitimate targets of domestic surveillance."

Furthermore, transparency of domestic surveillance is a problem as Spencer Ackerman of Wired reports that when Congress asked the National Security Agency how many persons inside the U.S. they have been spied upon, the NSA replied that answering that question "would further violate the privacy of U.S. persons" and the number was "beyond the capacity" of the NSA to count.

The high incidence of drone accidents is partly due to new technology, as the accident rates of drones in Iraq and Afghanistan declined to 5.13 per 100,000 flight hours in fiscal 2011 from 62.06 in fiscal 2001.

The Global Hawk has an overall accident rate of 15.16 per 100,000 flight hours, followed by the Predator (9.26) and the Reaper (7.96). McGarry notes that after 15 years, the Predator accident rate for 2011 of 4.86 is outpacing the F-16 Fight Falcon's rate of 3.89 when the fight jet was at the same point in its service life.

The global drone market is expected to nearly double over the next 10 years from nearly $6 billion annually to more than $11 billion (with police departments accounting for a significant part of that growth).

SEE ALSO: These New Drones Are Like Nothing The World Has Ever Seen >

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The US Blew $2 Billion On This Huge Missile Defense System It Now Plans To Cancel

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MEADS

After eight years of development, the U.S. plans to ditch its involvement in — what was supposed to be — the king of trans-Atlantic missile defense systems. 

What MEADS would've been>

Intended to intercept and destroy any "air-breathing threats" within medium altitude range — such as tactical ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, drones and aircraft — MEADS (Medium Air Defense System) seemed to be a promising joint project between the U.S. and European allies Germany and Italy. 

It was going to replace the Patriot missile system which has been in service since 1981. With a slew of high-tech "hit-to-kill" and "plug in and fight" advancements, MEADS has been promoted as being a quick, effective, 360-degree radar system to deploy.

But as Congress hashes out a new defense budget with cuts across the military, U.S. funding for MEADS has now been resigned to the scrap heap.

This spells disaster for the program, which only had one more year to go in its development phase. 

The decision to drop out of MEADS will save the U.S. $400 million next year, but how much has already been invested since 2004, and now lost?

The U.S. has spent $2 billion in taxpayer dollars, according to Lockheed Martin's director of MEADS business development Marty Coyne. He says that canceling the program at this point is a complete waste of money. He points out:

"Because MEADS provides eight times the defended area of Patriot and is much less costly to operate and maintain, building just 32 MEADS units while retiring 60 Patriot units can save taxpayers $40 billion over the next 25 years."

The U.S. decided in February 2011 that it wouldn't buy the missile system, but it still contributed to design and development, meaning at least the radar and launching technology could be reaped for other hardware next year. That's over now — just $2 billion gone — assuming the agreed upon bills go through.

Defense News explains how the U.S. made an about-face:

"It had agreed to fund the program through the 'Proof of Concept' phase in 2014, which would allow technologies to be harvested, even if the system were not purchased. Plans changed, however, when the U.S. National Defense Authorization Act for 2012 required the termination of MEADS before then, with no funding for 2013."

Germany and Italy aren't impressed at all, with claims — or diplomatic threats — that American abandonment could seriously damage trans-Atlantic relations. German lawmaker Ernst-Reinhard Beck wrote a strongly-worded letter to the chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee, Sen. Carl Levin, pointing out U.S. hypocrisy in the matter. Defense News has seen the letter, and reports:

Beck asks how the U.S. can demand Europe contribute to missile defense efforts while it bails out of a “prime example” of trans-Atlantic cooperation.

“This is critically important to the U.S. relationship with Germany, Italy and its NATO alliance as a whole,” states the letter.

If the U.S., as planned, scraps its 2013 funding for MEADS, thus “breaking our transatlantic agreement,” writes Beck, it “will probably cause significant financial and national security relationship challenges between trusted partners in the future.

“The U.S. Congress must be very aware that a pull-out on its final MEADS commitment has broad implications, and it will have long-term impacts on other multinational cooperative projects,” Beck writes.

We've pulled together technical details about MEADS and what might have been.

The "Plug and fight" technology of the MEADS would have let allies work together seamlessly

The system is network-centric, meaning launchers can "plug into" the mission.

The open architecture network lets allies share information: 

Knowing who's fighting where and with what aircraft allows MEADS to identity friendly forces flying overhead.

The system is also inter-operable, meaning it can be used in sync with other coalition weapon systems — old and new. Even ships.



Its highly sensitive radar would have provided an immense striking range

A surveillance radar is used to identify either friendly or enemy aircraft, while an X-Band multifunction fire control radar guides the system's missiles with precision towards threats. 

MEADS is advertised as having eight times the range of Patriot



A "battle manager" would have had total control of the missiles flight

A reduced crew is more economical, which is why MEADS was designed to require only two skill sets. 

A battle manager is one of them, and he can control the network-centric system — and all its allied components — by remote control. This saves lives.

 



See the rest of the story at Business Insider

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China Angers Vietnam By Announcing A Tiny New City On Disputed South China Sea Island

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south china sea

China today announced a new city on a tiny and remote island in the South China Sea, in what appears to be a bid to enhance its claims to sovereignty over disputed waters, the AP reports.

The new municipality will be known as Sansha City and sits on the small island of Yongxing. According to Xinhua, just 613 people are currently residents of the city, and the AP reports there is barely enough room for a single strip airport, a post office, a bank, a supermarket and a hospital on the island. Fresh water, along with rice and vegetables, takes 13 hours to arrive via freighter.

Chines authorities also announced that the Sansha municipality will include 770,000 square miles surrounding the islands.

The announcement of the new city came just a day after China announced it would be establishing a military garrison on islands, which are also claimed by the government of Vietnam.

China lays claim to much of the islands in the South China Sea, despite the rival claims of Philippines, Taiwan, Brunei and Malaysia. The area has long been disputed due to its valuable status as a trade route and fishing source. New reports of potential oil and gas deposits appear to have heightened tensions.

A statement on the Vietnam's Ministry of Foreign Affairs' website says that the country will refuse to recognize Sansha City. The Philippines have reportedly summoned the Chinese ambassador to protest the island.

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Mexican Official Accuses CIA Of 'Managing' Not 'Fighting' The Drug Trade

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drugs

A Mexican state government spokesman told Al Jazeera that the CIA and other international security forces "don't fight drug traffickers" as much as "try to manage the drug trade," Chris Arsenault reports.

"It's like pest control companies, they only control," Chihuahua spokesman Guillermo Terrazas Villanueva told Al Jazeera. "If you finish off the pests, you are out of a job. If they finish the drug business, they finish their jobs."

Chihuahua, one of Mexico's most violent states, borders on Texas.

Arsenault quickly notes that Villanueva is not a high ranking official and that the mayor of Juarez, Chihuahua, dismissed the accusations as "baloney."

Nevertheless, a government official going on the record with such claims is rare.

And a mid-level official with the Secretariat Gobernacion in Juarez (i.e. Mexico's equivalent to the U.S. Department of Homeland Security) told Al Jazeera the allegations were true based on discussions he's had with U.S. officials working in Juarez.

Arsenault highlights that the defense attorneys for Jesús Zambada Niebla – a leading trafficker from the Sinaloa cartel currently awaiting trial in Chicago – stated, as part of his defense, that "United States government agents aided the leaders of the Sinaloa Cartel."

Other high-level members of the Sinaloa cartel – Mexico's oldest trafficking organization – have made similar claims that Joaquin "El Chapo" Guzman, the Sinaloa cartel leader and one of the world's most wanted men, works closely with U.S. authorities.

Upwards of 55,000 people have died from drug-related violence in Mexico since 2006.

SEE ALSO: A Conspiracy Theory That Says The US Government Actively Supports Brutal Cartels Is Now Widespread In Mexico >

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Syria Is Going To Hell Even More Today

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Syrian Army

It's been a huge day in Syria, with great live coverage from the Guardian. Here are some of the highlights:

  • Brazil has pulled all of its diplomats out of Syria.
  • A video has surfaced of a group calling themselves "Soldiers of the Omar Farouq Brigade in Syria" encouraging Muslims to join a jihad against the Assad regime. 
  • The Syrian Brigadier General who defected has put his name forward as a possible leader of a provisional government to replace Assad. The video release is believed to have been filmed in Paris. 
  • Half of the UN's 300 observers have left Syria as the violence intensifies.  
  • Syria's envoy to Cyprus has defected. 
  • According to Reuters, Syrian Government troops are marching on Aleppo to stage a counteroffensive against the rebels. 

We'll keep you posted, but those are the major events that occurred before dawn in the United States. 

In the meantime, here's a full rundown of Syria's military might >

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The Air Force Has Finally Figured Out What's Wrong With The F-22 Raptors

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F-22 ss

After months of troubles with the oxygen system of the F-22 fighter aircraft, where multiple incidents of oxygen deprivation caused significant troubles and confused designers and leadership, the Air Force announced yesterday that they've traced the cause of the oxygen problems to a valve on a vest worn by pilots at high altitudes. 

The valve caused the vest to inflate at high altitudes and cause breathing problems for some pilots. That, according to Pentagon Press Secretary George Little, is the root cause of the persistent incidents. 

They've issued immediate corrections. The Air Force is planning to both replace the valve and increase air flow by removing a diagnostic filter installed into the oxygen system. Despite some initial speculation, contamination has been ruled out. 

Hours after Little's press conference, outgoing Chief of Staff of the Air Force General Norman Schwartz addressed the press and went further into the F-22 situation. 

Schwartz confirmed that there would be no change in the ruling on Pilot Jeff Hanley's F-22 crash in Alaska, which was ruled as pilot error rather than the fault of the oxygen system. 

The hardware problems in the F-22 are being addressed, but not before a squadron of the planes is sent to Kadena Air Base in Japan this week. According to the Pentagon, utmost care is being taken to ensure no incidents take place on the flight.

With regards to the aircraft problems the Air Force has endured during his term, Schwartz seemed to say that imperfection was just part of the business. "The notion of perfection at the outset, even with all the computer power we have and the CAD/CAM and all that stuff, you know," is just not possible.

He did have high praise for one company though.

"Apple," Schwartz said, "may be the only one that has been successful in engineering near-perfect products."

See what happened in the minutes before an F-22 crash >

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Defense Budget Cuts Could Swing The Entire Election

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Swings

As the titans of the defense industry lobby Congress and the White House to block or blunt deep Pentagon spending, their most potent weapon may be the threat of issuing hundreds of thousands of pink slips to employees shortly before the November election.

The $500 billion of automatic long-term defense cuts set to take place early next year were mandated under a deficit reduction law negotiated last summer by President Obama and Republican and Democratic members of Congress.

 Whether as a political tactic or simply complying with a federal disclosure requirement, major defense contractors including Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, Boeing and Pratt & Whitney are threatening to blitz the country this fall with notices of possible layoffs beginning in early January.

Democratic and Republican campaign organizations are saturating the 10 or so key battleground states with hundreds of millions of dollars worth of media buys trying to move the political needle one way or another. But the specter of the announcements of as many as 136,000 defense industry layoffs in Virginia, 18.400 in Colorado, nearly 42,000 in Florida, 40,000 in Pennsylvania, 27,600 in Wisconsin or 21,200 in Ohio might provide added grist for presumptive Republican nominee Mitt Romney in arguing that Obama’s economic policies have failed.

Those state-by-state projections of lost defense industry jobs were prepared by George Mason University professor Stephen S. Fuller. Some critics say the study exaggerates the likely impact of the defense cuts. But even if the threatened layoffs prove to be far fewer than that, those warnings of possible pink slips nonetheless would provide a tangible sign of spending policies gone astray that could be blamed on either party.

The nearly $1.2 trillion of  automatic, across the board spending cuts planned for both defense and domestic programs in the coming decade under sequestration are little understood by officials in the private or public sector and could do a lot of damage because they are not well targeted or strategic.  

As the deadline nears, the two parties have tried to distance themselves from responsibility for the automatic cuts and seek an alternative. Defense industry officials complain that the across the board cuts would be the equivalent of “blunt force trauma” and that the Office of Management and Budget has provided little if any useful guidance on how to prepare for sequestration.

“We fear that the government’s reluctance to make difficult choices and apply a well-aimed fiscal razor will mean that the federal budget, and particularly defense, will get the equivalent of a shave with a chain saw,” said Sean O’Keefe, Chairman and CEO of EASDS North America and Chairman of the National Defense Industrial Association.

Ross Baker, a Rutgers University political scientist, said that by threatening to issue layoff warning notices so close to the presidential and congressional elections, the defense industry is pursuing an “astute” but “cynical” lobbying strategy that will probably have the desired effect of pressuring Congress and the White House to prevent the defense cuts from taking effect. 

“I think there is sufficient anxiety already about the economy,” Baker told The Fiscal Times last week. “There are so many states and congressional districts that have military-connected activities . . . and defense contractors of all kinds, from giants down to producers of small components. For those people who are working in defense plants, the notices would signal that, ‘You guys could be next applying for unemployment compensation.’“

More from The Fiscal Times:

    •    After the Massacre: Guns Win, Theaters Lose

    •    CFPB Pushes Bankruptcy Protection for Student Loans

    •    Billions in Tax Dollars Subsidize Junk Food Industry

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This Was The Crazy Rocket Experiment That Led To 'Murphy's Law'

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rocket sled

The rocket sled is a system that was made to experiment with G-forces in the fifties.

In its simplest form, a rocket sled consists of a chair attached to a sled on a long stretch of railroad track with a rocket engine strapped to the back. The rocket ignites, the sled fires forward, the chair and occupant go along for the ride.

Some of the classic adages about reliability, technology and dependability were coined by the men who either climbed in or analyzed the sleds, including "Murphy's Law" and "Stapp's Law." 

It all started with the Gee-Whiz decelerator

Aerospace conventional wisdom up to the late forties held that human beings could only withstand forces up to around 18 g-forces without dying. Colonel John Stapp, a doctor in the newly-formed Air Force, set out to prove this was nonsense. 

The railroad track at Muroc Army Air Field — now Edwards Air Force Base — was 2,000 feet long with a 45 foot hydraulic breaking system. It was originally designed to test the German V-1 rocket. The sled weighed 1,500 lbs, could hold a person and had room for a number of rocket engines in the rear. 



First they used a dummy...

At first the Gee Whiz was tested with a crash test dummy, known as Oscar Eightball. Eightball would suffer a violent ejection that sent him flying 700 feet, as well as other work-related "injuries."

These problems were fixed, however, and then they strapped a chimpanzee in the seat.

Finally they needed a human volunteer.



Then, Colonel Stapp himself strapped into the rocket sled

After 35 unmanned test runs, John Stapp himself rode the sled with a single rocket propelling it, hitting 10 Gs of force in the process.

He was hooked.

Within months, Stapp had hit 35 Gs of force, blowing away the previously believed 18 G fatality point. The research changed the way airplanes were designed nearly immediately, accounting for additional safety measures and new capabilities. 



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Dubai Police Chief Warns Of International Plot To Overthrow Gulf States

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DUBAI (Reuters) - Dubai's chief of police has warned of an "international plot" to overthrow the governments of Gulf Arab countries, saying the region needs to be prepared to counter any threat from Islamist dissidents as well as Syria and Iran.

The comments by, one of the most outspoken security officials in the United Arab Emirates, follow the detention in the UAE since April of at least 20 dissidents, according to relatives of the detainees and activists.

"There's an international plot against Gulf states in particular and Arab countries in general...This is preplanned to take over our fortunes," Khalfan told reporters at a gathering late on Wednesday marking the Muslim holy month of Ramadan.

"The bigger our sovereign wealth funds and the more money we put in the banks of Western countries, the bigger the plot to take over our countries...The brothers and their governments in Damascus and North Africa have to know that the Gulf is a red line, not only for Iran but also for the Brothers as well."

Most of the detainees since April are Islamists, targeted by an official clampdown amid concern they may be emboldened by the rise of the Muslim Brotherhood in other Arab countries such as Egypt.

UAE Interior Ministry officials have not been available to comment on the arrests. Last week, UAE officials announced that authorities were investigating a foreign-linked group planning "crimes against the security of the state".

"I had no idea that there is this large number of Muslim Brotherhood in the Gulf states. We have to be alert and on guard because the wider these groups become, the higher probability there is for trouble," Khalfan said on Wednesday.

"We are aware that there are groups plotting to overthrow Gulf governments in the long term."

(Reporting by Mirna Sleiman; Writing by Andrew Torchia; Editing by Pravin Char)

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The Air Force's 30,000 Pound Bunker-Busting Bomb Is Ready For Action

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Its been nearly eight months since the Pentagon sent its largest and most powerful bomb, the Massive Ordnance Penetrator (MOP), back to Boeing for modifications necessary to take out Iranian nuclear facilities, but the Air Force says it's now ready to go.

Jeff Schogol at Defense News reports that Air Force Secretary Michael Donley says that while the MOP bomb continues to be refined and optimized, the Pentagon feels the 30,000 pound piece of ordnance is now sufficient to strike whatever targets the military may have in mind.

While the bomb went back to the drawing board with Pentagon planners considering Iran a potential target, recent developments in Syria offer up alternate possibilities for the MOP's initial mission.

Schogol mentions in his piece Defense Department spokesman George Little who said Tuesday that Syria's stockpile of chemical weapons are much on the minds of military planners: "I think I've been very clear," Little said, "as have others in the U.S. government, that it would be unacceptable not to secure them.”

Securing those weapons could take different forms, from Jordanian special forces, to Turkish ground troops, to bombing campaigns. Though traditional bombings could cause the chemical weapons to be released into the environment, producing catastrophic effects on the ground. 

The Heritage Foundation puts the number of facilities chemical weapons storage facilities at 50, but with Syria's recent deployment of the weapons, the number of locations at which the weapons are stored could change by the day. Most of these facilities would have to be secured by ground troops to prevent the chemicals release.

But underground bunkers Syria may have at their disposal are another story. Independent Media Review & Analysis says Syria has 30 such bunkers, whether that number is accurate may be irrelevant, because there's little doubt Assad's regime have them — and that may be where the MOP bomb comes in.

The MOP's modifications allow it to crash through 60 feet of reinforced concrete and detonate up to 200 feet below ground, giving it plenty of earth to cover up the chemical arsenal it's targeting.

As the Syria situation continues to unfold it'll be interesting to see how this chemical weapons situation plays out. In the meantime, the Air Force wants the world to know it's ready to do its part.

Now: Check out Syria's traditional military arsenal >

 

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Cocaine Production Is Skyrocketing Since US Dropped Aid To Colombia

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Colombian production of coca, the precursor plant to cocaine, rose three percent last year shattering the downward momentum of the past several years, according to Bloomberg.

Cocaine production has been trending downward in Colombia since 2007 due to U.S. military aid designed to combat the FARC cartel and coca cultivation across the South American nation.

The issue is, the aid dropped off.

That aid dropped 20% in 2011, and the Colombian military has had to try to do more with less against one of the most powerful drug cartels in the Americas.

The tide, it seems, turned against them this year, with Coca cultivation rising to 64,000 hectares from 62,000 hectares of coca cultivation.

This could compromise the United States' entire investment. 

Aerial spraying of herbicides and manual destruction of fields has brought the crop down from 144,000 hectares of coca in 2001, but this new resurgence is one of the first reverses of the positive downward trend in years.  

Now: Check out the drones flying over U.S. soil >

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The Pentagon Announces Another $5 Billion In Arms Deals

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When a country wants to buy a weapon system made for the United States, there's a very specific process that has to happen. They can't talk directly to the manufacturer. The nation must use the Pentagon as an intermediary, and Congress has to be alerted of the sale before it goes down.

Yesterday, the Pentagon told congress of five huge sales that they want to make. The countries are all in important regions — they border Syria or Iran, or are in the south Pacific, or are fighting a vicious cartel war. And each of them wants a lot of new firepower. 

Here are just some of the sales that make the U.S. the world's biggest arms dealer:

patriot missile systemPATRIOT Advanced Capability missiles to Kuwait for $4.2 billion

Kuwait wants 60 PATRIOT Advanced Capability missiles with parts, equipment, and training. 

They would pay $4.2 billion for the deal. 

The missiles come with 4 radars, 4 engagement control stations, 20 Launching Stations, and logistic support. 

Kuwait has been very friendly to the United States, and the Defense Department sees a use for the missiles in "deterring regional threats," like neighboring Iran. Kuwait already has the PATRIOT Advanced Capability missile in its forces. Raytheon and Lockheed Martin will manufacture. 

firefinder radarFIREFINDER Radars to Iraq for $428 million

The FIREFINDER system is a mobile radar unit manufactured by Raytheon and L-3. It is designed to track the trajectory of incoming artillery and rocket fire to find the location of the shooter. 

Iraq wants twelve of them, for $428 million. 

As it stands, the only forces using the system are the United States Army, Marine Corps, and the Australian Army. 

UH-60M blackhawkUH-60M Black Hawk Helicopters to Thailand for $235 million

The Government of Thailand wants four advanced UH-60M Black Hawk helicopters and is planning to shell out $235 million. 

Thailand is modernizing its armed forces, and the nation has been friendly to the U.S. in recent years. 

Sikorsky Helicopter of the United Technologies Corporation and GE will be the prime contractors.

The UH-60M includes an improved design of the initial Black Hawk UH-60A helicopter. It was introduced in 2006, and includes a new rotor design and an improved computer system. 

UH-60L blackhawkUH-60L Black Hawk Helicopters to Colombia for $87 million

Colombia wants five UH-60L Black Hawk helicopters and parts. They would pay $87 million. The sale includes ten T700 General Electric engines and assorted equipment. 

Colombia is currently in the process of modernizing its armed forces. The continued war against the powerful cartels have bled Colombia over the past several years, and the U.S. hopes that the sale could cement Colombia as "an important force for political stability and economic progress in South America."

Colombia already operates the UH-60. 

uh-1h hueyHuey II Helicopters to Lebanon for $63 million

Lebanon wants six Huey II helicopters with equipment, parts, and training. They would pay $63 million. 

Lebanon's main argument for the sale is that need the helicopters to enforce  United Nations Security Council Resolution 1701, which put an end to the 2006 Israel-Lebanon conflict and tasked Lebanon with keeping the peace internally. 

Likewise, UN Security Council Resolution 1559 expelled all foreign forces in Lebanon and mandated free and fair elections in 2004. So it seems Lebanon needs the choppers to keep the peace. 

The Huey II is a modified kit to the Bell Helicopter Huey UH-1H Iroquois helicopter. 

Now: See the wild rocket experiments behind "Murphy's Law" >

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House Intelligence Committee Chairman Publicly Blames Iran For Bulgaria Bus Bombing

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The chairman of the House Intelligence Committee has publicly blamed Iran for the bus bombing in Bulgaria that killed five Israeli tourists, Julian Pecquet of The Hill reported today. 

“I believe there were certainly elements of [Lebanese militant group] Hezbollah and I believe it was under the direction of their masters in Iran,” Rep. Mike Rogers (R-Mich.) told The Hill Wednesday.

Pecquet noted that Rogers' position makes him privy to detailed intelligence information. 

U.S. and Israeli officials have asserted that Iran and its proxy Hezbollah were responsible for the bombing in Bulgaria, but Rogers is the first U.S. official to go on the record with such accusations.

All U.S. and Israeli officials have declined to provide specific intelligence or evidence that links Hezbollah to the attack.

Rogers is urging the president to "call Iran on the carpet very publicly and tell them what we know” because this is "his time to stand up and do something bold ... Their behavior has been so bad, and so aggressive, it’s time to say enough is enough."

House Homeland Security Committee Chairman Pete King (R-N.Y.) agreed with Rogers, saying that all of the evidence "involves Iran and Hezbollah,” King told The Hill. “Iran is the enemy — that’s the bottom line. So it’s a question of how we address it.”

This type of rhetoric sounds like a drumbeat for war in light of the rising tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, the announcement that the Air Force's 30,000 lb bunker-busting bomb – necessary for any military strike on Iran's nuclear facilities – is ready for action, the September mine-sweeping exercise in the waters of the Middle East, Iran saying that "the time has come for the disappearance of the West and the Zionist regime," and the fact that the Israeli government has been on lockdown for months. 

Investigators are still struggling to identify the bomber. Airport security footage showed the primary suspect as a Caucasian man dressed like a tourist who had a fake Michigan license – by the name of Jacque Felipe Martin of Baton Rouge, La. – and a U.S. passport.

Iran has actually accused Israel of plotting the attack and Bulgaria has not yet assigned blame.

SEE ALSO: The Air Force's 30,000 Pound Bunker-Busting Bomb Is Ready For Action >

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The US Government Is Failing Miserably At Helping Veterans

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occupy wall street veterans

Earlier this week President Obama announced a "reverse bootcamp" for veterans returning from war in an attempt to overhaul the transition assistance program (TAP), which provides service members with information about benefits as well as career workshops.

Obama has been ambitious about trying to help veterans as he acknowledged Vietnam vets' rights to claim compensation for more illnesses linked to Agent Orange (but not the water at Camp Lejeune or the chemicals at Fort McClellan), expanded education benefits for GIs and made it easier to file claims for post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD).

vaBut a new report from Phil Stewart of Reuters lays out that despite (and perhaps because of) these efforts the Obama administration is struggling to provide a safety net for veterans, and the numbers are pretty daunting:

• A record 45 percent of the 1.6 million veterans from the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan are now seeking compensation for service-related injuries and millions of other veterans remain ineligible for compensation and benefits.

• More than half of veterans who needed comprehensive mental-health evaluations had not received them within two weeks of initial contact (which is the VA's target).

• A veteran within the VA healthcare system tries to commit suicide about once every half-hour.

• The VA processed more than 1 million pension and compensation claims in both 2010 and 2011, but the average time spent processing each claim grew from 2009 to 2011. 

• Despite staff increases, the ratio of VA mental-health patients per full-time mental-health worker was at 65 to 1 last year, roughly unchanged from 2006.

• Disability compensation claims that are stalled for more than 125 days in the VA system  increased fourfold from October 2009 to mid-July 2012 to 572,856 claimsStewart notes that "Veterans returning home today join lines for disability payments much longer than those Obama called intolerable in 2008."

• Unemployment among Iraq- and Afghanistan-era veterans was 12.1 percent in 2011 (national average was 8.9 percent). For 18- to 24-year-old veterans, the unemployment rate was 30 percent last year (nearly double the 16.1 percent rate for non-veterans in that age group.)

The number of complaints against all employers for discrimination against service members has risen 73 percent from 2001 to 1,548 last year, and the federal government accounted for the single biggest number of complaints with 18 percent of the total.

• The VA created a national registry to track those who are homeless and also those at risk of becoming homeless – so far it has amassed more than 400,000 names (at least 67,000 are considered homeless).

The administration has blamed the economic crisis and ballooning deficits for the inability to provide for more veterans. "Fiscal reality set in," a veterans' advocate who provided information to the 2008 campaign told Stewart.

In 2008 the outgoing George W. Bush administration reportedly told Obama's transition team that the VA apparatus "is broken, just play defense."

So Obama should be commended for his work, but good intentions won't make life any easier for the 1.6 million veterans of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.

SEE ALSO: Dear PTSD: Letter From A Military Wife To The Condition Destroying Her Family >

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How The US Fleet Would Defend Itself Against A Full-On Attack

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AMDR

As the Navy directs its attention, and the majority of its fleet, to distant parts of the Pacific, concern about ship's safety becomes paramount.

America's ships are getting expensive and the thought of a well placed missile sending one or more of them to the bottom of the ocean has surely caused more than one military planner a restless night.

To help keep that from happening Raytheon has produced an elaborate Air and Missile Defense Radar (AMDR) system for the Navy. 

The AMDR uses a two bands of radar to asses incoming threats, determine the priority in which they need to be addressed, neutralizes the threat, and keeps monitoring the site to make sure the target is down and out.

Raytheon released an animated video, via their website, that illustrates the AMDR's capabilities and how the design could protect the fleet, even in the face of a multi-pronged attack.

The following is a series of screenshots from the video, and a description of what the radar targeting system is doing at various points its counterattack. 

Our tour begins with a US task force traveling an unnamed body of water in hostile territory



This task force consists of six destroyers defending a carrier — the lead destroyer is carrying the AMDR system



Here's a cutaway from the lead ship, showing how the AMDR relays communications and radar waves — the yellow 'S' represents a particular band of radar



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